Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 102111.163746 107577.431378 113036.052966 118892.459420 124994.049574 131160.041233 137858.366047
2025-08-03 92634.436349 100970.557764 109521.312998 118936.906810 129002.599370 139429.644480 151036.314340
2025-08-10 86066.445524 96380.487448 107186.534667 119329.817927 132572.634383 146553.442959 162406.104697
2025-08-17 80770.597467 92538.180974 105088.625673 119433.197332 135336.327219 152388.839225 172017.464122
2025-08-24 77255.442847 90279.745709 104385.753118 120744.184607 139135.974532 159118.049446 182411.332713
2025-08-31 73368.351603 87314.897695 102634.486798 120637.303897 141136.741331 163674.252539 190245.779784
2025-09-07 71013.421221 85905.159776 102470.650978 122168.178222 144850.614300 170049.304772 200054.229695
2025-09-14 68630.209916 84309.108863 101957.861912 123175.359318 147864.175418 175557.157388 208834.205543
2025-09-21 65987.879095 82271.160546 100809.404737 123331.185134 149798.440768 179757.723620 216068.526342
2025-09-28 63602.999352 80421.756743 99776.907707 123525.146457 151694.721190 183853.807670 223144.209647
2025-10-05 62388.555746 79900.370683 100250.486228 125443.389530 155577.330520 190242.127544 232897.230278
2025-10-12 61084.307219 79202.570001 100456.360561 126994.640033 158992.734631 196070.489243 242005.400058
2025-10-19 59472.866858 78089.018066 100136.380857 127905.381748 161658.300991 201055.913786 250197.496868
2025-10-26 57564.007502 76541.393318 99232.181047 128059.544102 163380.150072 204906.150843 257050.439936
2025-11-02 55920.228184 75262.788480 98603.078181 128501.470330 165414.340262 209110.562373 264328.720459
2025-11-09 54216.177510 73846.966523 97749.518170 128616.933343 167010.566889 212763.618880 270937.549929
2025-11-16 53227.311856 73301.692341 97947.365116 130010.809905 170163.227588 218302.833422 279853.164433
2025-11-23 51587.960282 71865.598252 96976.552989 129897.582676 171414.389381 221502.175242 285912.106328
2025-11-30 50834.751457 71549.309908 97399.905790 131523.613972 174826.205295 227358.618478 295255.554889
2025-12-07 49873.426163 70926.264283 97402.942286 132593.248247 177527.590255 232340.474268 303541.900916
2025-12-14 48562.696322 69801.061925 96723.883601 132758.729091 179063.923038 235866.250777 310029.366552
2025-12-21 47331.155945 68744.087553 96099.693614 132964.701397 180629.280303 239417.421313 316552.938463
2025-12-28 46928.835463 68783.896031 96894.025377 135001.532409 184536.482411 245919.131417 326802.737348